Pair #11523

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-SLOW

The Open Championship: Will Shane Lowry make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 269

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-SLOW

Will Shane Lowry lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Shane Lowry
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 18545

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0150

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Shane Lowry is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3150 + ~$0.0157 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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