Pair #11516

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-THAT

The Open Championship: Will Tyrrell Hatton make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 474

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-THAT

Will Tyrrell Hatton lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Tyrrell Hatton
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 21531

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyrrell Hatton is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3300 + ~$0.0163 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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