Pair #11501

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-HMAT

The Open Championship: Will Hideki Matsuyama make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hideki Matsuyama
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5335

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hideki Matsuyama has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-HMAT

Will Hideki Matsuyama lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Hideki Matsuyama
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 20274

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0140

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hideki Matsuyama is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3950 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue