Pair #11489

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-CGOT

The Open Championship: Will Chris Gotterup make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1306

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-CGOT

Will Chris Gotterup lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Chris Gotterup
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 47626

YES ask: 0.0170
NO ask: 0.9840
Last: 0.0160

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chris Gotterup is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3170 + ~$0.0159 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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