Pair #11476

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-ABHA

The Open Championship: Will Akshay Bhatia make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1814

YES ask: 0.9100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 102979

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -99.70% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0150 + ~$0.0010 est. fees
Days to maturity: 1
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -103.93% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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