Pair #11450

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-STHE

Will Sahith Theegala win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1297553

YES ask: 0.0030
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0030

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-THOC26-STHE

The Open Championship: Will Sahith Theegala finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sahith Theegala
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 340

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sahith Theegala finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP5 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -97.40% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0380 + ~$0.0028 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -101.63% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue