Pair #11441

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BKOE

The Open Championship: Will Brooks Koepka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5971

YES ask: 0.5700
NO ask: 0.4500
Last: 0.5700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BKOE

Will Brooks Koepka lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brooks Koepka
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 14375

YES ask: 0.0120
NO ask: 0.9890
Last: 0.0120

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brooks Koepka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.4620 + ~$0.0182 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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