Pair #11437

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-BHAR

The Open Championship: Will Brian Harman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 498

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3800
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BHAR

Will Brian Harman lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Brian Harman
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 25578

YES ask: 0.0110
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Brian Harman is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3910 + ~$0.0173 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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