Pair #11425

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-PCAN

The Open Championship: Will Patrick Cantlay make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 1765

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3100
Last: 0.6900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-PCAN

Will Patrick Cantlay lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 2493

YES ask: 0.0090
NO ask: 0.9990
Last: 0.0090

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: round-position and final-result markets don't imply each other

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): >999% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.3190 + ~$0.0156 est. fees
Days to maturity: 2
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: >999% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue