Pair #11417

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-THOC26-WKIM

Will Si Woo Kim win the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-07-19T04:00:00Z
Volume: 1605618

YES ask: 0.0190
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0190

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim wins the The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-WKIM

The Open Championship: Will Si Woo Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Si Woo Kim
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 3500

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: rule-screener-v1
Screened: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: rule: KXPGATOUR is a strict subset of KXPGATOP10 for the same player and tournament

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -100.00% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1820 + ~$0.0124 est. fees
Days to maturity: 4
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -104.23% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-14T07:45:35Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue