Pair #11360

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXOWGRRANK-26AUGT10-MFIT

Will Matt Fitzpatrick be ranked top 10 on the Official World Golf Ranking on Aug 3, 2026?

Series: KXOWGRRANK
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-08-03T14:00:00Z
Volume: 970

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick is ranked in the top 10 (including ties) on the Official World Golf Ranking on August 3rd, 2026 at 10:00am EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-MFIT

The Open Championship: Will Matt Fitzpatrick make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Matt Fitzpatrick
Expiration: 2026-07-18T02:00:00Z
Volume: 10376

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Matt Fitzpatrick has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-13T08:00:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: World ranking status doesn't guarantee making the cut at a specific tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -79.55% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0600 + ~$0.0214 est. fees
Days to maturity: 18
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: -83.78% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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