Pair #11356

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-JROS

The Open Championship: Will Justin Rose finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 9345

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Justin Rose finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS

Justin Rose to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup

Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 5018

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.4900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Justin Rose is the Europe Team Captain at the 2027 Ryder Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-13T08:00:37Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: Being a future Ryder Cup captain has no bearing on a 2026 Open Championship finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 535.14% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9000 + ~$0.0175 est. fees
Days to maturity: 17
Hurdle yield: 4.23%
Excess yield: +530.91% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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