Pair #11355

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-27-VGK

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4008

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Vegas Golden Knights wins the 2026-27 Stanley CupĀ® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLWEST-27-VGK

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference Finals?

Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2027-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 613

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026-27 NHL Western Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNHL-27-UTA/KXNHLWEST-27-UTA] Utah Mammoth is in the Western Conference; winning the Stanley Cup requires first winning the Western Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -10.77% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1000 + ~$0.0155 est. fees
Days to maturity: 350
Hurdle yield: 4.51%
Excess yield: -15.29% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue