Pair #11328

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-BDEC

Bryson DeChambeau to compete in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027)?

Series: KXLIVCOMPETE
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2027-04-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1011

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau competes in a LIV Golf Tournament in Q1 2027 (January 1, 2027 to March 31, 2027), then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-BDEC

Will Bryson DeChambeau lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 17576

YES ask: 0.0150
NO ask: 0.9880
Last: 0.0130

View on Kalshi

Rules If Bryson DeChambeau is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXLIVCOMPETE-27APR-THAT/KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-THAT] These events involve different tours/times with no logical dependency between them.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 35.04% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7950 + ~$0.0130 est. fees
Days to maturity: 259
Hurdle yield: 4.48%
Excess yield: +30.56% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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