KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-JROS
Will Justin Rose lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Open Championship?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2026-08-02T04:00:00Z
Volume: 34048
YES ask: 0.0210
NO ask: 0.9820
Last: 0.0210
KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-JROS
Justin Rose to be the Europe Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup
Series: KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN
Entity: Justin Rose
Expiration: 2027-09-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 5018
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.4900
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-5
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXPGAR1LEAD-THOC26-PHAR/KXRYDERCUPCAPTAIN-2027EUR-PHAR] No logical connection between a captaincy appointment and a round-1 lead in a golf tournament.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-84.14%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0820
+ ~$0.0075 est. fees
Days to maturity:
17
Hurdle yield:
4.23%
Excess yield:
-88.37%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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