KXNCAAFB10-26-IOWA
Will Iowa win the College Football Big Ten Championship?
Series: KXNCAAFB10
Entity: Iowa
Expiration: 2026-12-06T04:30:00Z
Volume: 6257
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-IOWA
Will Iowa qualify for the College Football Playoffs?
Series: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF
Entity: Iowa
Expiration: 2026-12-15T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1428
YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1300
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNCAAFB10-26-MICH/KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH] Teams can qualify for the CFP without winning their conference championship (at-large bids), and winning the Big 10 championship does not guarantee a CFP berth in all scenarios. Neither event logically necessitates the other.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-26.57%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1200
+ ~$0.0086 est. fees
Days to maturity:
143
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-30.99%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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