Pair #11303

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-NYG

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: New York G
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2448

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stefon Diggs's next team is New York G before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-NYG

Will New York G be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: New York G
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 44228

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.2700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If New York G is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Stefon Diggs signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -50.49% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.2900 + ~$0.0144 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -54.91% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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