Pair #11298

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-LA

What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 10253

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyreek Hill's next team is Los Angeles R before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXSB-27-LAR

Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Series: KXSB
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 3842644

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles R wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Tyreek Hill signing with Denver does not logically necessitate Denver winning the Super Bowl, nor does Denver winning the Super Bowl require Hill to be on the roster. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -28.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1600 + ~$0.0106 est. fees
Days to maturity: 168
Hurdle yield: 4.44%
Excess yield: -33.42% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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