Pair #11293

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-LA

What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 10253

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tyreek Hill's next team is Los Angeles R before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-LAR

Will Los Angeles R have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 15876

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles R has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Tyreek Hill to sign with Denver, and Hill signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -28.98% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1600 + ~$0.0106 est. fees
Days to maturity: 168
Hurdle yield: 4.44%
Excess yield: -33.42% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

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