Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-LA
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 8255
YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Stefon Diggs's next team is Los Angeles R before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-LAR
Will Los Angeles R be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Los Angeles R
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4535
YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Los Angeles R is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Stefon Diggs signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-77.74%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.7500
+ ~$0.0147 est. fees
Days to maturity:
138
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-82.16%
BELOW HURDLE