Pair #1124

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CBEZ

Valspar Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2858

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CBEZ

Valspar Championship: Will Christiaan Bezuidenhout finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 30176

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Christiaan Bezuidenhout finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:18:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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