Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-IND
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Indianapolis
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5340
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tyreek Hill's next team is Indianapolis before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXSB-27-IND
Will Indianapolis win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Series: KXSB
Entity: Indianapolis
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 299337
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Indianapolis wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Tyreek Hill signing with Denver does not logically necessitate Denver winning the Super Bowl, nor does Denver winning the Super Bowl require Hill to be on the roster. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-4.49%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0200
+ ~$0.0014 est. fees
Days to maturity:
168
Hurdle yield:
4.44%
Excess yield:
-8.93%
BELOW HURDLE