Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26APIERCE-NE
What will be Alec Pierce's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: New England
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 7490
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Alec Pierce's next team is New England before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-NE
Will New England have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: New England
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2986
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If New England has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26APIERCE-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Alec Pierce to sign with Denver, and Pierce signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-5.77%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0200
+ ~$0.0027 est. fees
Days to maturity:
138
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-10.19%
BELOW HURDLE