Pair #11144

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-TEN

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Tennessee
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4752

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.4100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stefon Diggs's next team is Tennessee before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXSB-27-TEN

Will Tennessee win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Series: KXSB
Entity: Tennessee
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 277543

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tennessee wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Stefon Diggs signing with Denver does not logically necessitate a Super Bowl win, nor does winning the Super Bowl require Diggs to be on the team. No logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 2.13% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900 + ~$0.0021 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -2.29% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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