Pair #11140

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-TEN

What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Tennessee
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 6666

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Maxx Crosby's next team is Tennessee before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-TEN

Will Tennessee have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Tennessee
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 662

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tennessee has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Maxx Crosby to sign with Denver, and Crosby signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -2.77% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0007 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -7.19% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue