Pair #11029

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-CIN

What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Cincinnati
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3281

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Tyreek Hill's next team is Cincinnati before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-CIN

Will Cincinnati have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Cincinnati
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4139

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Cincinnati has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Tyreek Hill to sign with Denver, and Hill signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -21.35% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.1100 + ~$0.0069 est. fees
Days to maturity: 168
Hurdle yield: 4.44%
Excess yield: -25.79% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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