KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-WAS
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 56551
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXSB-27-WAS
Will Washington win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Series: KXSB
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 1555761
YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Maxx Crosby signing with Denver does not logically necessitate a Super Bowl win, nor does winning the Super Bowl require Crosby to be on the team. No logical necessity.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-8.00%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0300
+ ~$0.0020 est. fees
Days to maturity:
138
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-12.42%
BELOW HURDLE
Not yet reviewed.
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