Pair #11018

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-WAS

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 14033

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stefon Diggs's next team is Washington before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXSB-27-WAS

Will Washington win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Series: KXSB
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 1555761

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Washington wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Stefon Diggs signing with Denver does not logically necessitate a Super Bowl win, nor does winning the Super Bowl require Diggs to be on the team. No logical necessity.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 83.35% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7800 + ~$0.0152 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: +78.93% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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