Pair #11013

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-WAS

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 14033

YES ask: 0.3400
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.3400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stefon Diggs's next team is Washington before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-WAS

Will Washington have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Washington
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1132

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Washington has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Stefon Diggs to sign with Denver, and Diggs signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 90.02% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7700 + ~$0.0145 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: +85.60% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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