Pair #10996

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-ATL

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Atlanta
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 5397

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Stefon Diggs's next team is Atlanta before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-ATL

Will Atlanta be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Atlanta
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4642

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Atlanta is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Stefon Diggs signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -54.38% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3300 + ~$0.0155 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -58.80% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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