Pair #10995

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-ATL

What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Atlanta
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 8421

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyreek Hill's next team is Atlanta before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-ATL

Will Atlanta be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Atlanta
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4642

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Atlanta is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Tyreek Hill signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -47.52% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.3300 + ~$0.0155 est. fees
Days to maturity: 168
Hurdle yield: 4.44%
Excess yield: -51.96% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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