Pair #10981

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LAC

Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?

Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 29351

YES ask: 0.3200
NO ask: 0.6900
Last: 0.3200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles C wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXSB-27-LAC

Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?

Series: KXSB
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 838068

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles C wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Winning the AFC West division does not guarantee winning the Super Bowl (could lose in playoffs), and winning the Super Bowl does not require winning the division (wild card teams can win the Super Bowl).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 75.80% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.7400 + ~$0.0183 est. fees
Days to maturity: 179
Hurdle yield: 4.45%
Excess yield: +71.35% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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