Pair #1098

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11649

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1145

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:17:25Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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