Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-LAC
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 21090
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Tyreek Hill's next team is Los Angeles C before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXSB-27-LAC
Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Series: KXSB
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 838068
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Los Angeles C wins the 2027 Pro Football Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Tyreek Hill signing with Denver does not logically necessitate Denver winning the Super Bowl, nor does Denver winning the Super Bowl require Hill to be on the roster. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-8.93%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0400
+ ~$0.0040 est. fees
Days to maturity:
168
Hurdle yield:
4.44%
Excess yield:
-13.37%
BELOW HURDLE