Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-LAC
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 30856
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Maxx Crosby's next team is Los Angeles C before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-LAC
Will Los Angeles C have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2492
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Los Angeles C has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Maxx Crosby to sign with Denver, and Crosby signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-12.84%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0500
+ ~$0.0033 est. fees
Days to maturity:
138
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-17.26%
BELOW HURDLE