Pair #10965

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-LAC

What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1584

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Stefon Diggs's next team is Los Angeles C before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-LAC

Will Los Angeles C be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3683

YES ask: 0.6500
NO ask: 0.3600
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles C is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Stefon Diggs signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -74.07% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.6500 + ~$0.0159 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -78.49% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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