Pair #10958

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LAC

Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC Championship?

Series: KXNFLAFCCHAMP
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 104135

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles C wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-LAC

Will Los Angeles C have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2492

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles C has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Winning the AFC Championship does not require having the best regular season record, and having the best record does not guarantee winning the AFC Championship. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): 9.43% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9400 + ~$0.0102 est. fees
Days to maturity: 207
Hurdle yield: 4.46%
Excess yield: +4.97% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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