Pair #10938

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-PHI

What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Philadelphia
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 190059

YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Maxx Crosby's next team is Philadelphia before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-PHI

Will Philadelphia have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Philadelphia
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 8541

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Philadelphia has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Maxx Crosby to sign with Denver, and Crosby signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -11.06% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0400 + ~$0.0053 est. fees
Days to maturity: 138
Hurdle yield: 4.42%
Excess yield: -15.48% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue