Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-PHI
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?
Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Philadelphia
Expiration: 2026-12-01T15:00:00Z
Volume: 4474
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Stefon Diggs's next team is Philadelphia before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-PHI
Will Philadelphia be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Philadelphia
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3794
YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Philadelphia is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26SDIG-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Whether Denver makes the playoffs has no logical bearing on whether Stefon Diggs signs with Denver, and vice versa. These are independent events.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-72.39%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.6100
+ ~$0.0167 est. fees
Days to maturity:
138
Hurdle yield:
4.42%
Excess yield:
-76.81%
BELOW HURDLE