Pair #1088

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 11649

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 704

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:17:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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