Pair #1087

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 704

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis finishes top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-CDAV

Valspar Championship: Will Cameron Davis make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Cameron Davis
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1145

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Cameron Davis makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:17:08Z

Reasoning: To finish in the top 20 of a tournament, a player must have made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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