Pair #10864

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-CHI

What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?

Series: KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Entity: Chicago
Expiration: 2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
Volume: 9679

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tyreek Hill's next team is Chicago before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-CHI

Will Chicago have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?

Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Chicago
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3024

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Chicago has the best regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685

Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26THILL-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] Having the best NFL regular season record does not require Tyreek Hill to sign with Denver, and Hill signing with Denver does not guarantee the best record. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): -2.85% (negative yield)
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0034 est. fees
Days to maturity: 168
Hurdle yield: 4.44%
Excess yield: -7.29% BELOW HURDLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue