Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNCAAF-27-CLEM
Will Clemson win the College Football Playoff National Championship?
Series: KXNCAAF
Entity: Clemson
Expiration: 2027-01-26T04:00:00Z
Volume: 154603
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Clemson wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-CLEM
Will Clemson qualify for the College Football Playoffs?
Series: KXNCAAFPLAYOFF
Entity: Clemson
Expiration: 2026-12-15T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1728
YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Clemson is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNCAAF-27-MICH/KXNCAAFPLAYOFF-26-MICH] Winning the CFP National Championship requires having qualified for the College Football Playoffs. So winning the championship necessitates playoff qualification, but not vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-26.74%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1700
+ ~$0.0099 est. fees
Days to maturity:
194
Hurdle yield:
4.45%
Excess yield:
-31.20%
BELOW HURDLE