KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-LV
Will Las Vegas have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Las Vegas
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 2093
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0100
KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV
Will Las Vegas win the Pro Football AFC West Division?
Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Las Vegas
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 89902
YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0800
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] If Denver has the best record in the entire NFL, they necessarily have the best record in their division (the AFC West), so they must win the AFC West division title. The reverse does not hold — Denver could win the AFC West without having the league's best record.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-10.55%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0600
+ ~$0.0053 est. fees
Days to maturity:
207
Hurdle yield:
4.46%
Excess yield:
-15.01%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z