KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LV
Will Las Vegas win the Pro Football AFC West Division?
Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Las Vegas
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 89902
YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0800
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-LV
Will Las Vegas be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Las Vegas
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 50074
YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.1800
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Winning the AFC West division guarantees Denver a playoff berth. However, Denver can make the playoffs as a wild card without winning the division, so the playoff event does not imply the division title. Only one direction holds: division win → playoff qualifier.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-27.89%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1600
+ ~$0.0139 est. fees
Days to maturity:
179
Hurdle yield:
4.45%
Excess yield:
-32.33%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z