KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-KC
Will Kansas City have the best regular season record in the 2026-27 season?
Series: KXRECORDNFLBEST
Entity: Kansas City
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3868
YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0900
KXNFLAFCWEST-27-KC
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC West Division?
Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Kansas City
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 31486
YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3500
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN/KXRECORDNFLBEST-27-DEN] If Denver has the best record in the entire NFL, they necessarily have the best record in their division (the AFC West), so they must win the AFC West division title. The reverse does not hold — Denver could win the AFC West without having the league's best record.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-40.15%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.3200
+ ~$0.0180 est. fees
Days to maturity:
207
Hurdle yield:
4.46%
Excess yield:
-44.61%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z