KXNFLAFCWEST-27-KC
Will Kansas City win the Pro Football AFC West Division?
Series: KXNFLAFCWEST
Entity: Kansas City
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 31486
YES ask: 0.3500
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3500
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-KC
Will Kansas City be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Kansas City
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3328
YES ask: 0.6600
NO ask: 0.3700
Last: 0.6400
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCWEST-27-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] Winning the AFC West division guarantees Denver a playoff berth. However, Denver can make the playoffs as a wild card without winning the division, so the playoff event does not imply the division title. Only one direction holds: division win → playoff qualifier.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-46.68%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.3300
+ ~$0.0312 est. fees
Days to maturity:
179
Hurdle yield:
4.45%
Excess yield:
-51.12%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z