KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-BAL
Will Baltimore win the Pro Football AFC Championship?
Series: KXNFLAFCCHAMP
Entity: Baltimore
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 77723
YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.8800
Last: 0.1300
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-BAL
Will Baltimore be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Baltimore
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1132
YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.2900
Last: 0.7200
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN/KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN] To win the AFC Championship, Denver must have qualified for and participated in the playoffs. So winning the AFC Championship logically necessitates being a playoff qualifier. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-57.18%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.6000
+ ~$0.0215 est. fees
Days to maturity:
208
Hurdle yield:
4.46%
Excess yield:
-61.64%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z