KXSB-27-TB
Will Tampa Bay win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Series: KXSB
Entity: Tampa Bay
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 1006795
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200
Pair #10748
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-TB
Will Tampa Bay be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Tampa Bay
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 1637
YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.6400
Last: 0.3700
Rules
If Tampa Bay is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Winning the Super Bowl (Pro Football Championship) requires making the playoffs. So if Denver wins the championship, they must have been a playoff qualifier. However, making the playoffs does not guarantee winning the championship.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-42.05%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.3600
+ ~$0.0170 est. fees
Days to maturity:
214
Hurdle yield:
4.46%
Excess yield:
-46.52%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z