KXSB-27-LAC
Will Los Angeles C win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?
Series: KXSB
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-14T23:30:00Z
Volume: 838068
YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9600
Last: 0.0400
KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-LAC
Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC Championship?
Series: KXNFLAFCCHAMP
Entity: Los Angeles C
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 104135
YES ask: 0.1200
NO ask: 0.8900
Last: 0.1200
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z
Code version: ecbe685
Reasoning: [structural reuse of KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN/KXSB-27-DEN] Winning the Super Bowl (Pro Football Championship) requires winning the AFC Championship game first. So if Denver wins the Super Bowl, they must have won the AFC Championship. The reverse does not hold — winning the AFC Championship does not guarantee winning the Super Bowl.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
-13.68%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0800
+ ~$0.0101 est. fees
Days to maturity:
214
Hurdle yield:
4.46%
Excess yield:
-18.14%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-07-13T07:45:27Z